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Primeira Liga Predictions

Portuguese league and cup matches only β€” Saturday 16 May 2026

Kick-off times in Portuguese time (WET/WEST)

Free Portuguese football predictions for 16 May 2026, showing only matches from Primeira Liga that our Poisson prediction model covers. Each fixture carries over 2.5 goals, both teams to score and match result probabilities.

The model covers nine Portuguese fixtures on Saturday 16 May 2026 in one competition, led by Primeira Liga.

The model's standout reads were Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente for over 2.5 goals at 66%, Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente for both teams to score at 58%, and Sporting CP as the strongest favourite at 67% (Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente). Each figure comes straight from the model's scoreline distribution.

Of the three standout picks that have since finished, two landed. That is a very small sample; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Primeira Liga predictions

9 matches Β· Portugal Primeira Liga hub →
FC Porto
1 : 0 FT
Santa Clara
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Moreirense
0 : 0 FT
AVS
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Arouca
3 : 1 FT
Tondela
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Casa Pia
1 : 1 FT
Rio Ave
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Nacional
2 : 0 FT
Vitória SC
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
SC Braga
2 : 2 FT
Estrela
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Estoril
1 : 3 FT
Benfica
Win 24%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Famalicao
1 : 0 FT
Alverca
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Sporting CP
3 : 0 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing all 9 Portuguese fixtures, grouped by competition. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Portuguese Football β€” common questions

Which Portuguese leagues do you cover?

Fixture360 covers a curated set of leagues rather than every division. Competitions we cover in Portugal include Primeira Liga; other Portuguese competitions appear automatically whenever the data feed supplies fixtures for them. On Saturday 16 May 2026 the page lists Primeira Liga.

How many Portuguese matches were predicted on Saturday 16 May 2026?

nine Portuguese fixtures across one competition. The highest over 2.5 probability is Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente at 66%.

How are Portuguese football predictions calculated?

A Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from its attack and defence strengths in recent results, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. Over 2.5, both teams to score and match result probabilities are summed from those scorelines. No bookmaker odds are used as an input.

Are kick-off times shown in Portuguese time?

Yes. Kick-off times on this page's fixture cards are shown in Portuguese time (WET/WEST, the Europe/Lisbon time zone) and adjust automatically for summer time. They are not converted to your own location, so check the time against the official club or league listing before relying on it. The date selector uses UTC days.

Where can I find Portuguese over 2.5 and BTTS predictions?

The Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes market pages rank fixtures across every league we cover, including Primeira Liga. The "Portuguese Football picks of the day" card on this page links to the top Portuguese fixture for each market.

Are these betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.