Sign in Register
🎯

Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability — Sunday 13 December 2026

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market — it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures clear the bar on Sunday 13 December 2026. The strongest reading belongs to FC Lugano vs FC Thun at 86% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 67%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

La Liga supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano
– : – 15:30
FC Thun
Win 70%
Draw 15%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 86% BTTS Yes 77%
#2 Eliteserien · Norway
Viking
– : – 16:00
Ham-Kam
Win 75%
Draw 13%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 85% BTTS Yes 72%
#3 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Groningen
– : – 13:30
Feyenoord
Win 17%
Draw 16%
Win 67%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 75%
#4 La Liga · Spain
Malaga
– : – 16:00
Barcelona
Win 7%
Draw 11%
Win 82%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 63%
#5 La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
– : – 16:00
Osasuna
Win 86%
Draw 10%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Championship · England
Lincoln
– : – 14:00
Norwich
Win 15%
Draw 15%
Win 70%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 69%
#7 La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
– : – 16:00
Racing Santander
Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
– : – 18:15
St. Truiden
Win 69%
Draw 16%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC
– : – 17:00
Volos NFC
Win 88%
Draw 9%
Win 3%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS No 60% AEK Athens FC Clean Sheet 59%
#10 La Liga · Spain
Levante
– : – 16:00
Alaves
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 68%
#11 Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom
– : – 16:00
Tromso
Win 47%
Draw 21%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 71%
#12 Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
– : – 16:00
Trabzonspor
Win 54%
Draw 20%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 70%
#13 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
– : – 15:00
KVC Westerlo
Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 67%
#14 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
– : – 12:30
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 50%
Draw 21%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 70%
#15 Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
– : – 16:00
Austria Vienna
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 71%
#16 Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
– : – 13:30
Wolfsberger AC
Win 84%
Draw 13%
Win 3%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS No 56% Red Bull Salzburg Clean Sheet 55%
#17 Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg
– : – 16:00
KFUM Oslo
Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Serie A · Italy
Lazio
– : – 17:30
AS Roma
Win 31%
Draw 22%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
#19 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
– : – 16:00
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%
#20 Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
– : – 16:00
Aalesund
Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 20 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (≥ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Sunday 13 December 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Lugano vs FC Thun at 86% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.