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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 29 June 2025

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market β€” it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 29 June 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Falkenbergs FF vs Umeå FC at 70% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies four of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the over 2.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
2 : 0 FT
Umeå FC
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Super League Β· China
Meizhou Kejia
1 : 2 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 32%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bryne
1 : 1 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 2 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 27%
Draw 22%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
0 : 0 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 17%
Draw 21%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 2 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Degerfors IF
0 : 3 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 18%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Fredrikstad
0 : 1 FT
Tromso
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 8 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Sunday 29 June 2025?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Falkenbergs FF vs Umeå FC at 70% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.