Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Bryne at 44%, yet other data sources diverge — this Bryne vs Ham-Kam fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
Bryne host Ham-Kam at Bryne Stadion in Eliteserien, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday 29 June 2025 at 16:00 UTC.
Form Guide
Across all Eliteserien games this season, Ham-Kam have recorded 2W 3D 5L from 10 outings — 0.90 PPG. Last five: W D L L L. Their scoring rate of 1.10 per game is modest, conceding 1.50 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in just 30% of their games, reflecting a regular tendency to keep or record clean sheets.
When travelling in Eliteserien this season, Ham-Kam have posted 4W 2D 4L from 10 away outings — 1.40 PPG. Away from home they average 1.60 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Bryne 1.84 xG and Ham-Kam 1.58 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Bryne attack 1.081 / defence 1.362 | Ham-Kam attack 0.837 / defence 1.066. League average goals — home 1.597 / away 1.390. Data: 10 Bryne games / 40 Ham-Kam games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Bryne 44% | Draw 23% | Ham-Kam 33%. Fair-value odds: Bryne 2.27 | Draw 4.35 | Ham-Kam 3.03. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 23% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 66% | BTTS probability 67% | Total xG 3.42. Over 2.5 is the model's clear signal at 66% — a total xG of 3.42 means the expected score alone exceeds the 2.5 threshold, making the Over not just likely but structurally supported by both sides' attack/defence profiles. BTTS Yes at 67% reflects that both xG figures (1.84 / 1.58) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Bryne are the pick at 44% — marginal model lean. With a 23% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Bryne offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 33% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 3.42 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 66% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.
The outsider holds a 33% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Bryne vs Ham-Kam | Competition: Eliteserien, Regular Season - 11 | Venue: Bryne Stadion • Kick-off: Sunday 29 Jun 2025, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
⚔️ Head-to-Head History
• No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset
📈 Recent Form
• Ham-Kam (all comps): 2W-3D-5L in 10 | 0.90 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 1.50 | L5 W-D-L-L-L • Ham-Kam away split: 1.40 PPG from 10 | GF 1.60 / GA 1.70 | CS 1
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Bryne 44% | Draw 23% | Ham-Kam 33% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 66% | BTTS 67% | xG Bryne 1.84 / Ham-Kam 1.58 • Poisson strength factors: Bryne attack 1.081 / def 1.362 | Ham-Kam attack 0.837 / def 1.066 | league avg home 1.597 / away 1.390 • Poisson stance: Bryne (44%) — low confidence — close contest
🎲 Betting Market Intelligence
• Odds data is not currently available for this fixture
🧮 Prediction Model
1.84
Bryne xG
Expected Goals
1.58
Ham-Kam xG
67%
BTTS
86%
Over 1.5
66%
Over 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
Full score probability matrix is a Premium feature
Upgrade to see the exact probability of every scoreline from 0-0 to 6-6, not just the headline 1X2 split.
Upgrade to Premium⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Bryne vs Ham-Kam kick off?
Bryne vs Ham-Kam kicked off at 16:00 on Sunday 29 June 2025 at Bryne Stadion.
What was the final score in Bryne vs Ham-Kam?
Bryne 1 - 1 Ham-Kam.
Where is Bryne vs Ham-Kam being played?
The match is being played at Bryne Stadion.
What competition is Bryne vs Ham-Kam part of?
Bryne vs Ham-Kam is a Regular Season - 11 fixture in the Eliteserien (Norway).
Who is favourite to win Bryne vs Ham-Kam?
Our statistical model gives Bryne a 44% chance of winning, Ham-Kam a 33% chance, and a 23% chance of a draw — making Bryne the favourite.
Will both teams score in Bryne vs Ham-Kam?
Our model estimates a 67% probability that both Bryne and Ham-Kam will score (BTTS).
Will Bryne vs Ham-Kam have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 66%.
What is the head-to-head record between Bryne and Ham-Kam?
• No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset
What form are Bryne and Ham-Kam in?
• Ham-Kam (all comps): 2W-3D-5L in 10 | 0.90 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 1.50 | L5 W-D-L-L-L • Ham-Kam away split: 1.40 PPG from 10 | GF 1.60 / GA 1.70 | CS 1
What do the betting odds say about Bryne vs Ham-Kam?
• Odds data is not currently available for this fixture