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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability — Friday 12 March 2027

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market — you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Friday 12 March 2027. Den Bosch vs Emmen sits top on 96% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 72%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
: 19:00
Emmen
Win 55%
Draw 17%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 88% BTTS Yes 83%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
: 19:00
FC Volendam
Win 47%
Draw 18%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 86% BTTS Yes 83%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Heracles
: 19:00
MVV
Win 54%
Draw 19%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 74%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
: 19:00
Vitesse
Win 29%
Draw 20%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 73%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Metz
: 19:00
Dunkerque
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
: 19:00
Grenoble
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
: 19:00
FC Eindhoven
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
Nantes
: 19:00
Saint Etienne
Win 17%
Draw 24%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
: 19:00
Reims
Win 18%
Draw 26%
Win 56%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
: 19:00
Dijon
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Nancy
: 19:00
PAU
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
: 19:00
Roda
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
#13 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Rasi Salai United
: 12:00
Pattani
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 13 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (≥ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 12 March 2027?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Den Bosch vs Emmen at 96% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.