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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Monday 19 October 2026

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

17 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 19 October 2026. Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Hazm sits top on 87% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the over 1.5 goals market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1 : 0 FT
Al-Hazm
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
2 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
Win 29%
Draw 22%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
2 : 3 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 30%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
2 : 2 FT
Al-Faisaly FC
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Superettan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
0 : 0 FT
Helsingborg
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
2 : 0 FT
Beşiktaş
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Wisla Plock
1 : 0 FT
Radomiak Radom
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
0 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
3 : 2 FT
Galway United
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Premier League Β· Russia
Rodina Moskva
2 : 2 FT
FC Orenburg
Win 24%
Draw 32%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
0 : 3 FT
Montpellier
Win 33%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
1 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 28%
Draw 34%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
1 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy
Monza
4 : 0 FT
Cagliari
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2 FT
Roda
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 54%
#16 Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians
1 : 1 FT
Vitoria
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy
Parma
0 : 3 FT
Torino
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 17 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Monday 19 October 2026?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Hazm at 87% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.