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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Monday 8 December 2025

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

14 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 8 December 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Mantova vs Reggiana at 87% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 71%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie B supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the over 1.5 goals market — 79%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy
Mantova
0 : 1 FT
Reggiana
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy
Bari
1 : 1 FT
Pescara
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
2 : 3 FT
De Graafschap
Win 33%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Frosinone
3 : 0 FT
Juve Stabia
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Wolves
1 : 4 FT
Manchester United
Win 23%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#6 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon City FC
2 : 3 FT
Bucheon FC 1995
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
1 : 2 FT
Genoa
Win 30%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Beşiktaş
2 : 2 FT
Gaziantep FK
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
2 : 0 FT
Levante
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy
Avellino
1 : 1 FT
Venezia
Win 26%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
2 : 3 FT
AC Milan
Win 17%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 58%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vitória SC
0 : 0 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy
Padova
1 : 1 FT
Cesena
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#14 Serie B Β· Italy
Virtus Entella
0 : 1 FT
Spezia
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 14 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Monday 8 December 2025?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Mantova vs Reggiana at 87% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.