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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 30 October 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 30 October 2022. Lask Linz vs Wolfsberger AC sits top on 92% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 82%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Lask Linz
4 : 1 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 24%
Draw 20%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
3 : 0 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
2 : 2 FT
jerv
Win 72%
Draw 15%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
0 : 2 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 23%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 58%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 70%
#5 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Winterthur
1 : 0 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 67%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco
2 : 0 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
1 : 1 FT
Girona
Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
SK Beveren
3 : 0 FT
KRC Genk II
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Haka
1 : 2 FT
VPS
Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Vienna
2 : 1 FT
SCR Altach
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#11 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
3 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 22%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
3 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
2 : 3 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#14 Superettan Β· Sweden
Trelleborg
1 : 2 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 33%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#15 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RWDM
3 : 0 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
5 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57% ✓ Arsenal Clean Sheet 55%
#17 Premier League Β· Russia
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 FT
Torpedo Moskva
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#18 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#19 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Zbrojovka Brno
3 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 21%
Draw 28%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#20 Super League Β· China
Dalian Aerbin
2 : 1 FT
Wuhan Zall
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 30 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lask Linz vs Wolfsberger AC at 92% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.