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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 29 April 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 29 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Bohemians vs UCD at 91% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 74%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
3 : 0 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
1 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 21%
Draw 21%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
1 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
4 : 2 FT
KV Mechelen
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 2 FT
Excelsior
Win 28%
Draw 22%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
3 : 1 FT
SJK
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Sandhausen
1 : 2 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 17%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS
3 : 1 FT
VPS
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC St. Pauli
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
AC Oulu
3 : 0 FT
Haka
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
4 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Primera División Β· Chile
A. Italiano
2 : 0 FT
Universidad de Chile
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
1 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
BTTS No 56%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
3 : 2 FT
FC Volendam
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 3 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 26%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
3 : 3 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 0 FT
Roda
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
3 : 2 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
#20 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
2 : 3 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 29 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bohemians vs UCD at 91% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.