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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Monday 2 August 2021

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 2 August 2021. D. Melipilla vs Colo Colo sits top on 82% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies three of the top 9, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the over 1.5 goals market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primera División Β· Chile
D. Melipilla
2 : 4 FT
Colo Colo
Win 26%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Huanghai
0 : 5 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 11%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#3 Super League Β· China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
5 : 2 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
1 : 2 FT
Orebro SK
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
#5 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
1 : 0 FT
Chongqing Lifan
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 35%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 35%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Primera División Β· Chile
D. La Serena
1 : 1 FT
Antofagasta
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Auxerre
3 : 0 FT
Grenoble
Win 22%
Draw 35%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 60%
#9 Superettan Β· Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
3 : 3 FT
IK brage
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 9 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Monday 2 August 2021?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by D. Melipilla vs Colo Colo at 82% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.