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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 10 July 2021

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

17 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 10 July 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Viking vs Stromsgodset at 92% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 73%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies seven of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the over 1.5 goals market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
1 : 1 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
4 : 0 FT
Sirius
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
– : – CANC
Stromsgodset
Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
– : – CANC
Valerenga
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
– : – CANC
Bodo/Glimt
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
– : – CANC
Molde
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
– : – CANC
Rosenborg
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
2 : 0 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
2 : 2 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil
Palmeiras
3 : 2 FT
Santos
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
#11 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
– : – CANC
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
1 : 0 FT
Bahia
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Longford Town
1 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 63%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Mjondalen
– : – CANC
Stabaek
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 55%
#15 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
1 : 1 FT
Tromso
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
1 : 0 FT
Kristiansund BK
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
#17 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
2 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 17 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 10 July 2021?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Viking vs Stromsgodset at 92% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.