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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 16 December 2020

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Six matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 16 December 2020. Bayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg led the list at 91% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 73%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Bundesliga supplies five of the top 6, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the over 1.5 goals market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
2 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
0 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
1 : 4 FT
Molde
Win 37%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Köln
0 : 4 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 15%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
0 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 29%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 38%
BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
0 : 2 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 26%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 6 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 16 December 2020?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg at 91% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.