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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 28 November 2020

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 28 November 2020. VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern München led the list at 92% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 79%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Bundesliga supplies six of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the over 1.5 goals market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 3 FT
Bayern München
Win 25%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
3 : 3 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
2 : 1 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 21%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
4 : 1 FT
Start
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4 : 1 FT
FC Schalke 04
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
1 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
3 : 1 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
1 : 2 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 8 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 28 November 2020?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern München at 92% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.