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One-Sided Predictions

Biggest mismatches ranked by dominant win probability — Saturday 27 February 2027

These are the day's biggest mismatches — fixtures where the prediction model gives one team a 60%+ win probability. Useful for finding confident accumulator legs, handicap markets, and Asian lines. The favourite can be the home or away side — the model ranks purely on statistical dominance, not venue.

The model shortlists 17 fixtures on Saturday 27 February 2027. Red Bull Salzburg vs Grazer AK sits top on 88% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 61%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
: 16:00
Grazer AK
Win 88%
Draw 9%
Win 3%
Over 2.5 79%
#2 League Two · England
Oldham
: 15:00
Shrewsbury
Win 75%
Draw 19%
Win 7%
BTTS No 65% Oldham Clean Sheet 60%
#3 Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
: 16:00
Austria Lustenau
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Championship · England
Stoke City
: 15:00
Bolton
Win 71%
Draw 21%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 60%
#5 Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund
: 14:30
Union Berlin
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
: 16:00
Iraklis 1908
Win 66%
Draw 24%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 54%
#7 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
: 12:30
Dynamo Dresden
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 67%
#8 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
: 14:00
Slavia Praha
Win 16%
Draw 21%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 55%
#9 League One · England
Burton Albion
: 15:00
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 71%
#10 Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart
: 14:30
Hamburger SV
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Serie B · Italy
Palermo
: 14:00
Hellas Verona
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#12 Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
: 12:30
Sisaket United
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 53%
#13 League Two · England
York
: 15:00
Rochdale
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
#14 League Two · England
Accrington ST
: 15:00
Port Vale
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
#15 League One · England
Blackpool
: 15:00
AFC Wimbledon
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
: 16:00
Volos NFC
Win 61%
Draw 27%
Win 12%
#17 League One · England
Huddersfield
: 15:00
Wycombe
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 17 fixtures where one team has 60%+ win probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

One-Sided — common questions

What does the One-Sided market mean?

One-Sided settles on whether a match has a clear statistical favourite. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate one-sided probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The favourite's win probability shown here is the stronger of the two win probabilities, regardless of which side is at home. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for One-Sided on Saturday 27 February 2027?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Red Bull Salzburg vs Grazer AK at 88% favourite's win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 60% or higher win probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these one-sided predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.