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One-Sided Predictions

Biggest mismatches ranked by dominant win probability β€” Sunday 26 October 2025

These are the day's biggest mismatches β€” fixtures where the prediction model gives one team a 60%+ win probability. Useful for finding confident accumulator legs, handicap markets, and Asian lines. The favourite can be the home or away side β€” the model ranks purely on statistical dominance, not venue.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 26 October 2025. Shanghai Shenhua vs Dalian Zhixing led the list at 75% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 60%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the one-sided market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 2 FT
Dalian Zhixing
Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
4 : 3 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
6 : 1 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 1 FT
Molde
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
2 : 4 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Levadiakos
1 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#7 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Cavalry FC
4 : 1 FT
York United
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
4 : 0 FT
IF Elfsborg
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Gremio
3 : 1 FT
Juventude
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 62%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Tondela
0 : 3 FT
Sporting CP
Win 13%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 60%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Showing top 10 fixtures where one team has 60%+ win probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

One-Sided β€” common questions

What does the One-Sided market mean?

One-Sided settles on whether a match has a clear statistical favourite. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate one-sided probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The favourite's win probability shown here is the stronger of the two win probabilities, regardless of which side is at home. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for One-Sided on Sunday 26 October 2025?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Shanghai Shenhua vs Dalian Zhixing at 75% favourite's win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 60% or higher win probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these one-sided predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.