Serie A Predictions
Italian league and cup matches only — Friday 1 May 2026
Kick-off times in Italian time (CET/CEST)
Free Italian football predictions for 1 May 2026, showing only matches from Serie A, Serie B and Coppa Italia that our Poisson prediction model covers. Each fixture carries over 2.5 goals, both teams to score and match result probabilities.
Italian football had eleven fixtures on Friday 1 May 2026 across two competitions, led by Serie A and Serie B.
The model's standout reads were Palermo vs Catanzaro for over 2.5 goals at 56%, Spezia vs Venezia for both teams to score at 59%, and Carrarese as the strongest favourite at 56% (Carrarese vs Cesena). These are probabilities from the Poisson model, not certainties.
Of the three standout picks that have since finished, two landed. That is a very small sample; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Italian Football picks of the day
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Showing all 11 Italian fixtures, grouped by competition. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Italian Football — common questions
Which Italian leagues do you cover?
Fixture360 covers a curated set of leagues rather than every division. Competitions we cover in Italy include Serie A, Serie B and Coppa Italia; other Italian competitions appear automatically whenever the data feed supplies fixtures for them. On Friday 1 May 2026 the page lists Serie A and Serie B.
How many Italian matches were predicted on Friday 1 May 2026?
eleven Italian fixtures across two competitions. The highest over 2.5 probability is Palermo vs Catanzaro at 56%.
How are Italian football predictions calculated?
A Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from its attack and defence strengths in recent results, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. Over 2.5, both teams to score and match result probabilities are summed from those scorelines. No bookmaker odds are used as an input.
Are kick-off times shown in Italian time?
Yes. Kick-off times on this page's fixture cards are shown in Italian time (CET/CEST, the Europe/Rome time zone) and adjust automatically for summer time. They are not converted to your own location, so check the time against the official club or league listing before relying on it. The date selector uses UTC days.
Where can I find Italian over 2.5 and BTTS predictions?
The Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes market pages rank fixtures across every league we cover, including Serie A and Serie B. The "Italian Football picks of the day" card on this page links to the top Italian fixture for each market.
Are these betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.