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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability — Sunday 21 March 2027

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher — making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

18 fixtures clear the bar on Sunday 21 March 2027. The strongest reading belongs to 1. FC Magdeburg vs SV Darmstadt 98 at 84% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 57%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
– : – 12:30
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 84%
Draw 11%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 77%
#2 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
– : – 12:00
Eyüpspor
Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 68%
#3 Süper Lig · Turkey
Amed
– : – 12:00
Samsunspor
Win 76%
Draw 13%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 63%
#4 Eredivisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
– : – 16:00
Willem II
Win 72%
Draw 15%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 70%
#5 La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
– : – 16:00
Getafe
Win 71%
Draw 21%
Win 7%
BTTS No 62% Atletico Madrid Clean Sheet 58%
#6 Serie A · Italy
Inter
– : – 17:30
Frosinone
Win 70%
Draw 15%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 68%
#7 La Liga · Spain
Levante
– : – 16:00
Osasuna
Win 69%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 74%
#8 Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
– : – 17:30
Lecce
Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Serie A · Italy
Napoli
– : – 17:30
Venezia
Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 55%
#10 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
– : – 16:00
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
– : – 16:00
Maritimo
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 58%
#12 Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
– : – 12:00
Rizespor
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
BTTS No 54%
#13 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Dynamo Dresden
– : – 12:30
Hannover 96
Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 56%
#14 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
– : – 12:30
Karlsruher SC
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%
#15 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
– : – 12:30
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kocaelispor
– : – 12:00
Alanyaspor
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 63%
#17 Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
– : – 12:00
Beşiktaş
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 65%
#18 Süper Lig · Turkey
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
– : – 12:00
Konyaspor
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 58%

Showing top 18 fixtures by home win probability (≥ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker — common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 21 March 2027?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by 1. FC Magdeburg vs SV Darmstadt 98 at 84% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.