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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability — Saturday 27 February 2027

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher — making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

20 matches clear our threshold on Saturday 27 February 2027. Red Bull Salzburg vs Grazer AK tops the list at 89% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 60%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
– : – 16:00
Grazer AK
Win 89%
Draw 8%
Win 3%
Over 2.5 83%
#2 Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
– : – 16:00
Volos NFC
Win 81%
Draw 13%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS No 54%
#3 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
– : – 14:00
Sigma Olomouc
Win 76%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
– : – 16:00
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#5 Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund
– : – 14:30
Union Berlin
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 60%
#6 Championship · England
Millwall
– : – 15:00
Preston
Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 58%
#7 League Two · England
Chesterfield
– : – 15:00
Bristol Rovers
Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Premier League · Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
– : – 16:00
Bukovyna
Win 68%
Draw 25%
Win 8%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 60% Obolon'-Brovar Clean Sheet 56%
#9 Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
– : – 16:00
Rennes
Win 67%
Draw 15%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 87% BTTS Yes 79%
#10 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
– : – 17:00
Widzew Łódź
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
– : – 16:00
Austria Lustenau
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 73%
#12 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
– : – 16:00
Kortrijk
Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 64% Lommel United Clean Sheet 56%
#13 League Two · England
York
– : – 15:00
Rochdale
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
#14 Bundesliga · Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
– : – 14:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 68%
#15 League Two · England
Accrington ST
– : – 15:00
Port Vale
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 57%
#16 Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig
– : – 14:30
Bayern München
Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg
– : – 14:30
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 63%
Draw 17%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 73%
#18 Championship · England
Cardiff
– : – 15:00
Blackburn
Win 63%
Draw 17%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 72%
#19 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ratchaburi
– : – 12:00
Chiangrai United
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%
#20 Championship · England
Wrexham
– : – 15:00
Derby
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by home win probability (≥ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker — common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 27 February 2027?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Red Bull Salzburg vs Grazer AK at 89% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.