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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Friday 26 February 2027

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Six matches clear our threshold on Friday 26 February 2027. Heracles vs Jong Utrecht tops the list at 80% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 6, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
– : – 19:00
Jong Utrecht
Win 80%
Draw 12%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Ligue 2 Β· France
Saint Etienne
– : – 19:00
Sochaux
Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 8%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 68% Saint Etienne Clean Sheet 62%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
– : – 19:00
Helmond Sport
Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 72%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
– : – 19:00
FC Eindhoven
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
– : – 19:00
MVV
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Montpellier
– : – 19:00
Laval
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 21%

Showing top 6 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Friday 26 February 2027?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Heracles vs Jong Utrecht at 80% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.