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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability — Sunday 21 February 2027

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher — making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

20 matches clear our threshold on Sunday 21 February 2027. Heerenveen vs Willem II tops the list at 80% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
– : – 16:00
Willem II
Win 80%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 53%
#2 La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
– : – 16:00
Levante
Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
– : – 12:30
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 68%
#4 Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
– : – 12:00
Konyaspor
Win 72%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 66% Trabzonspor Clean Sheet 60%
#5 La Liga · Spain
Alaves
– : – 16:00
Racing Santander
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
– : – 16:00
Cambuur
Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
– : – 12:00
Amed
Win 66%
Draw 16%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 73%
#8 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
– : – 16:00
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
– : – 12:00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 55%
#10 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
– : – 16:00
Getafe
Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
#11 Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
– : – 12:00
Gaziantep FK
Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 63%
#12 Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
– : – 16:00
Casa Pia
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 58%
#13 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Dynamo Dresden
– : – 12:30
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 54%
#14 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
– : – 12:30
VfL Osnabrück
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
BTTS No 53%
#15 Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
– : – 12:00
Eyüpspor
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%
#16 Championship · England
West Ham
– : – 12:00
Millwall
Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 69%
#17 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
– : – 12:30
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#18 Süper Lig · Turkey
Göztepe
– : – 12:00
Alanyaspor
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
#19 La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
– : – 16:00
Celta Vigo
Win 55%
Draw 31%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 63% Athletic Club Clean Sheet 54%
#20 Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
– : – 17:30
Genoa
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by home win probability (≥ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker — common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 21 February 2027?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Heerenveen vs Willem II at 80% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.