Sign in Register
🏠

Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability — Saturday 20 February 2027

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher — making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

20 matches clear our threshold on Saturday 20 February 2027. AEK Athens FC vs Asteras Tripolis tops the list at 85% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 62%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC
– : – 16:00
Asteras Tripolis
Win 85%
Draw 10%
Win 4%
Over 2.5 78%
#2 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
– : – 16:00
RAAL La Louvière
Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 71%
#3 Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München
– : – 14:30
FC Augsburg
Win 80%
Draw 10%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 94% BTTS Yes 82%
#4 Bundesliga · Germany
SV Elversberg
– : – 14:30
Union Berlin
Win 72%
Draw 15%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 66%
#5 Premier League · England
Brentford
– : – 15:00
Coventry
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#6 Championship · England
Southampton
– : – 15:00
Wrexham
Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#7 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
– : – 19:00
Lokeren-Temse
Win 70%
Draw 15%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 72%
#8 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
– : – 16:00
KVC Westerlo
Win 68%
Draw 16%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 68%
#9 Premier League · England
Chelsea
– : – 15:00
Ipswich
Win 66%
Draw 16%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 72%
#10 Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
– : – 16:00
Le Mans
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 58%
#11 Ligue 1 · France
Nice
– : – 16:00
Auxerre
Win 66%
Draw 17%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 70%
#12 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen
– : – 16:00
SK Beveren
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 62%
#13 Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
– : – 16:00
Levadiakos
Win 65%
Draw 24%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 59% Aris Thessalonikis Clean Sheet 53%
#14 Premier League · England
Bournemouth
– : – 15:00
Crystal Palace
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 56%
#15 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
– : – 16:00
Lommel United
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 63%
#16 Ligue 1 · France
Lens
– : – 16:00
Estac Troyes
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 57%
#17 League One · England
Reading
– : – 15:00
Cambridge United
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
– : – 14:00
Zlin
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
#19 Championship · England
Swansea
– : – 15:00
Lincoln
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 64% Swansea Clean Sheet 55%
#20 Premier League · England
Brighton
– : – 15:00
Tottenham
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by home win probability (≥ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker — common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 20 February 2027?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by AEK Athens FC vs Asteras Tripolis at 85% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.