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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 18 October 2026

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists 17 fixtures on Sunday 18 October 2026. Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach led the list at 78% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 57%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the home win market — 76%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
3 : 0 FT
SCR Altach
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 17%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Red Bull Salzburg Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
1 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
Win 78%
Draw 12%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
6 : 1 FT
Start
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
1 : 2 FT
Utrecht
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lyon
2 : 1 FT
Nice
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Brighton
5 : 0 FT
Crystal Palace
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos
5 : 1 FT
Asteras Tripolis
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
4 : 1 FT
Sevilla
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 2 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 59%
Draw 17%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 86% ✓ BTTS Yes 80%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
2 : 0 FT
Racing Santander
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
2 : 1 FT
Iraklis 1908
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 28%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Sturm Graz
6 : 1 FT
Grazer AK
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
1 : 1 FT
KFUM Oslo
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
2 : 1 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#16 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
3 : 2 FT
Gwangju FC
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris FC
4 : 3 FT
Rennes
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 17 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 18 October 2026?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach at 78% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.