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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 26 July 2026

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Sunday 26 July 2026. U. Catolica vs D. La Serena sits top on 68% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Allsvenskan supplies three of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the home win market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primera División Β· Chile
U. Catolica
3 : 3 FT
D. La Serena
Win 68%
Draw 16%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
4 : 1 FT
IFK Goteborg
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 16%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Gais
1 : 1 FT
Halmstad
Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
BTTS No 57%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
2 : 3 FT
Valerenga
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Super League Β· China
Yunnan Yukun
4 : 3 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
1 : 1 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
RB Bragantino
0 : 0 FT
Coritiba
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
1 : 2 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1 : 0 FT
Ham-Kam
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 9 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 26 July 2026?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by U. Catolica vs D. La Serena at 68% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.