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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 6 April 2024

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 6 April 2024. Muangthong United vs Trat FC sits top on 79% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 58%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the home win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Muangthong United
2 : 0 FT
Trat FC
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
2 : 0 FT
Fortuna Sittard
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 21%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
2 : 1 FT
Benfica
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
1 : 0 FT
Prachuap
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
2 : 1 FT
Bohemians 1905
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Championship Β· England
Leicester
2 : 1 FT
Birmingham
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#7 Premier League Β· England
Fulham
0 : 1 FT
Newcastle
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Vienna
1 : 1 FT
Austria Lustenau
Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
BTTS No 56%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 League One Β· England
Blackpool
1 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#11 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Lommel United
0 : 0 FT
Seraing United
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 54%
#12 Championship Β· England
QPR
0 : 2 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
1 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
5 : 1 FT
AZ Alkmaar
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
3 : 0 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ AC Milan Clean Sheet 54%
#16 League Two Β· England
Barrow
0 : 2 FT
Swindon Town
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#17 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
0 : 0 FT
RWDM
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%
#18 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
1 : 1 FT
Le Havre
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 53%
#19 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
2 : 1 FT
FC St. Pauli
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#20 Super League Β· Switzerland
Servette FC
0 : 1 FT
FC Zurich
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 6 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Muangthong United vs Trat FC at 79% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.