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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Wednesday 9 November 2022

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 9 November 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Ajax vs Vitesse at 69% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the home win market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
2 : 2 FT
Vitesse
Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United
0 : 1 FT
Sukhothai FC
Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 59%
#3 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Plzen
4 : 0 FT
Zbrojovka Brno
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
6 : 1 FT
Bologna
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
2 : 2 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
3 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
4 : 1 FT
Chiangrai United
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 7 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Wednesday 9 November 2022?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajax vs Vitesse at 69% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.