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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals — Friday 22 January 2027

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) — making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Friday 22 January 2027. Emmen vs NAC Breda sits top on 4.31 in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 4.31 down to 2.72, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
: 19:00
NAC Breda
Win 63%
Draw 17%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 74%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Heracles
: 19:00
Helmond Sport
Win 68%
Draw 16%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 67%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
: 19:00
Dordrecht
Win 52%
Draw 21%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
: 19:00
Almere City FC
Win 22%
Draw 20%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
: 19:00
VVV Venlo
Win 42%
Draw 22%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
: 19:00
MVV
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
: 19:00
Nantes
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
: 19:00
Annecy
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Reims
: 19:00
RED Star FC 93
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
: 19:00
PAU
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Metz
: 19:00
Dijon
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 11 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest — common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Friday 22 January 2027?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Emmen vs NAC Breda at 4.31 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.