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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Monday 25 May 2026

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 25 May 2026. The strongest reading belongs to IFK Norrkoping vs Osters IF at 3.95 in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 3.95 down to 2.50, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 8, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the goal fest market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
2 : 0 FT
Osters IF
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 20%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 73%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
2 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 38%
Draw 23%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
1 : 1 FT
Aalesund
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 1 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 22%
Draw 24%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Start
2 : 0 FT
Valerenga
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
#6 League Two Β· England
Notts County
3 : 0 FT
Salford City
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 54%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
1 : 1 FT
Fredrikstad
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#8 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
0 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 8 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Monday 25 May 2026?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by IFK Norrkoping vs Osters IF at 3.95 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.