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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Friday 31 January 2025

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 31 January 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Okhdood at 4.10 in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 4.10 down to 2.66, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the goal fest market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 15%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 65%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Elversberg
2 : 2 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 35%
Draw 22%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
2 : 1 FT
Al Urooba
βœ“ Win 85%
Draw 11%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 73%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
1 : 0 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 73%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
1 : 0 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 28%
Draw 22%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
0 : 2 FT
Lens
Win 24%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 50%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
1 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Eyüpspor
1 : 0 FT
Sivasspor
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 62%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
4 : 1 FT
Widzew Łódź
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
3 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 1 FT
Heracles
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
1 : 0 FT
Dibba Al Hisn
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 59%
#14 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
3 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
Win 20%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
0 : 1 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Parma
1 : 3 FT
Lecce
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Boavista
0 : 2 FT
Famalicao
Win 26%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 48%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
2 : 1 FT
Rodez
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
4 : 3 FT
Al Wahda FC
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
4 : 2 FT
Jong PSV U21
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Friday 31 January 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Okhdood at 4.10 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.