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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Sunday 2 February 2025

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 2 February 2025. Buriram United vs Port FC led the list at 4.03 in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 4.03 down to 2.99, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the goal fest market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
0 : 1 FT
Port FC
Win 86%
Draw 10%
Win 4%
Over 2.5 77%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
1 : 0 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 18%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 69%
#3 Premier League Β· England
Brentford
0 : 2 FT
Tottenham
Win 34%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 43%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 72%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 43%
Draw 21%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
2 : 2 FT
Twente
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
1 : 2 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 1 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Adana Demirspor
3 : 5 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 19%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2 : 1 FT
Preußen Münster
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
2 : 1 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#11 League One Β· England
Bristol Rovers
3 : 1 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
1 : 0 FT
Strasbourg
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
1 : 4 FT
Waalwijk
Win 34%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
2 : 1 FT
Feyenoord
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#16 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
3 : 2 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
2 : 0 FT
FC ST. Gallen
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 63%
#18 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Sukhothai FC
1 : 3 FT
Muangthong United
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#19 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
2 : 1 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#20 Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
5 : 1 FT
Manchester City
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Sunday 2 February 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Buriram United vs Port FC at 4.03 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.