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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals — Monday 24 May 2021

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) — making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

17 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 24 May 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Rosenborg vs Molde at 4.04 in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 4.04 down to 2.77, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies ten of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the goal fest market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg
2 : 3 FT
Molde
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#2 Eliteserien · Norway
Molde
– : – CANC
Viking
Win 80%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 72%
#3 Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
1 : 3 FT
Sandefjord
Win 35%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#4 Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
– : – CANC
Kristiansund BK
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
#5 Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom
1 : 3 FT
Viking
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Eliteserien · Norway
Stabaek
– : – CANC
Stromsgodset
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
– : – CANC
Brann
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Eliteserien · Norway
Mjondalen
– : – CANC
ODD Ballklubb
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%
#9 Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund
0 : 0 FT
Stabaek
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%
#10 Eliteserien · Norway
ODD Ballklubb
1 : 1 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Eliteserien · Norway
Kristiansund BK
1 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 63%
#12 Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund
– : – CANC
Valerenga
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
1 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 20%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
5 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom
– : – CANC
Rosenborg
Win 20%
Draw 27%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg
1 : 0 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Eliteserien · Norway
Mjondalen
1 : 1 FT
Valerenga
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 17 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest — common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Monday 24 May 2021?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Rosenborg vs Molde at 4.04 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.