Ligue 1 Predictions
French league and cup matches only — Saturday 21 February 2026
Kick-off times in French time (CET/CEST)
Free French football predictions for 21 February 2026, showing only matches from Ligue 1, Ligue 2 and Coupe de France that our Poisson prediction model covers. Each fixture carries over 2.5 goals, both teams to score and match result probabilities.
The model covers six French fixtures on Saturday 21 February 2026 in two competitions, led by Ligue 1 and Ligue 2.
The model's standout reads were Paris Saint Germain vs Metz for over 2.5 goals at 76%, Estac Troyes vs PAU for both teams to score at 55%, and Paris Saint Germain as the strongest favourite at 88% (Paris Saint Germain vs Metz). These are probabilities from the Poisson model, not certainties.
Of the three standout picks that have since finished, three landed. That is a very small sample; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
French Football picks of the day
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Showing all 6 French fixtures, grouped by competition. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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French Football — common questions
Which French leagues do you cover?
Fixture360 covers a curated set of leagues rather than every division. Competitions we cover in France include Ligue 1, Ligue 2 and Coupe de France; other French competitions appear automatically whenever the data feed supplies fixtures for them. On Saturday 21 February 2026 the page lists Ligue 1 and Ligue 2.
How many French matches were predicted on Saturday 21 February 2026?
six French fixtures across two competitions. The highest over 2.5 probability is Paris Saint Germain vs Metz at 76%.
How are French football predictions calculated?
A Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from its attack and defence strengths in recent results, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. Over 2.5, both teams to score and match result probabilities are summed from those scorelines. No bookmaker odds are used as an input.
Are kick-off times shown in French time?
Yes. Kick-off times on this page's fixture cards are shown in French time (CET/CEST, the Europe/Paris time zone) and adjust automatically for summer time. They are not converted to your own location, so check the time against the official club or league listing before relying on it. The date selector uses UTC days.
Where can I find French over 2.5 and BTTS predictions?
The Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes market pages rank fixtures across every league we cover, including Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. The "French Football picks of the day" card on this page links to the top French fixture for each market.
Are these betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.