Ligue 1 Predictions
French league and cup matches only — Saturday 5 October 2024
Kick-off times in French time (CET/CEST)
Free French football predictions for 5 October 2024, showing only matches from Ligue 1, Ligue 2 and Coupe de France that our Poisson prediction model covers. Each fixture carries over 2.5 goals, both teams to score and match result probabilities.
There were seven French fixtures on Saturday 5 October 2024, spread across two competitions, led by Ligue 1 and Ligue 2.
The model's standout reads were Ajaccio vs Martigues for over 2.5 goals at 67%, Lille vs Toulouse for both teams to score at 62%, and Ajaccio as the strongest favourite at 76% (Ajaccio vs Martigues). Each figure comes straight from the model's scoreline distribution.
Of the three standout picks that have since finished, one landed. That is a very small sample; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
French Football picks of the day
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Showing all 7 French fixtures, grouped by competition. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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French Football — common questions
Which French leagues do you cover?
Fixture360 covers a curated set of leagues rather than every division. Competitions we cover in France include Ligue 1, Ligue 2 and Coupe de France; other French competitions appear automatically whenever the data feed supplies fixtures for them. On Saturday 5 October 2024 the page lists Ligue 1 and Ligue 2.
How many French matches were predicted on Saturday 5 October 2024?
seven French fixtures across two competitions. The highest over 2.5 probability is Ajaccio vs Martigues at 67%.
How are French football predictions calculated?
A Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from its attack and defence strengths in recent results, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. Over 2.5, both teams to score and match result probabilities are summed from those scorelines. No bookmaker odds are used as an input.
Are kick-off times shown in French time?
Yes. Kick-off times on this page's fixture cards are shown in French time (CET/CEST, the Europe/Paris time zone) and adjust automatically for summer time. They are not converted to your own location, so check the time against the official club or league listing before relying on it. The date selector uses UTC days.
Where can I find French over 2.5 and BTTS predictions?
The Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes market pages rank fixtures across every league we cover, including Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. The "French Football picks of the day" card on this page links to the top French fixture for each market.
Are these betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.