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First Half Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest first-half goal probability β€” Sunday 2 November 2025

First half goals (over 0.5) lands when at least one goal goes in before the break. Our prediction model scales each fixture's full-match expected goals by the share of goals its league actually scores in the first half, measured from recent results. Only fixtures with a 75%+ chance of a first-half goal are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 2 November 2025. SC Paderborn 07 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth led the list at 83% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 78%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the first half goals market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 83%
SC Paderborn 07
2 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 18%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France 82%
Nantes
0 : 2 FT
Metz
Win 69%
Draw 16%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 67%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 82%
Emmen
2 : 2 FT
Waalwijk
Win 47%
Draw 21%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 82%
Heracles
8 : 2 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 31%
Draw 21%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway 81%
Stromsgodset
1 : 2 FT
Viking
Win 17%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#6 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand 80%
Bangkok United
1 : 2 FT
Uthai Thani
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#7 Premier League Β· England 80%
Manchester City
3 : 1 FT
Bournemouth
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Super League Β· Switzerland 80%
FC Luzern
6 : 0 FT
Grasshoppers
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 67%
#9 Super League Β· Switzerland 80%
BSC Young Boys
0 : 0 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 51%
Draw 21%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 79%
Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 21%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain 79%
Levante
1 : 2 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 20%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France 79%
Toulouse
0 : 0 FT
Le Havre
Win 53%
Draw 21%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Germany 79%
VfL Wolfsburg
2 : 3 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 18%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden 78%
IF Elfsborg
0 : 3 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 66%
#15 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland 78%
Lech Poznan
2 : 2 FT
Motor Lublin
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#16 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden 78%
Djurgardens IF
0 : 0 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#17 Super League Β· China 78%
Qingdao Jonoon
1 : 0 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%
#18 Ligue 1 Β· France 78%
Stade Brestois 29
0 : 0 FT
Lyon
Win 39%
Draw 22%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Austria 78%
Red Bull Salzburg
4 : 1 FT
Ried
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#20 K League 1 Β· South-Korea 78%
Suwon City FC
1 : 1 FT
Daegu FC
Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%

Showing top 20 fixtures by first-half goal probability (a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

First Half Goals β€” common questions

What does the First Half Goals market mean?

First Half Goals settles on whether a match produces at least one goal before half-time. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate first half goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The first-half goal probability shown here is the probability of at least one goal before half-time — the full-match expected goals scaled by the share of goals each league actually produces in the first half, measured from its recent results. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for First Half Goals on Sunday 2 November 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SC Paderborn 07 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth at 83% first-half goal probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these first half goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.