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First Half Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest first-half goal probability — Saturday 2 November 2024

First half goals (over 0.5) lands when at least one goal goes in before the break. Our prediction model scales each fixture's full-match expected goals by the share of goals its league actually scores in the first half, measured from recent results. Only fixtures with a 75%+ chance of a first-half goal are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 2 November 2024. SHANGHAI SIPG vs Tianjin Teda sits top on 87% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the first half goals market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League · China 87%
SHANGHAI SIPG
5 : 0 FT
Tianjin Teda
✓ Win 78%
Draw 12%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Bundesliga · Germany 84%
Holstein Kiel
1 : 0 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 13%
Draw 20%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Bundesliga · Germany 84%
VfL Wolfsburg
1 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#4 Bundesliga · Austria 83%
Red Bull Salzburg
0 : 0 FT
Grazer AK
Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 61%
#5 2. Bundesliga · Germany 83%
Hertha BSC
0 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 47%
Draw 22%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 74%
#6 Bundesliga · Germany 82%
Eintracht Frankfurt
7 : 2 FT
VfL Bochum
✓ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#7 Super League · China 82%
Changchun Yatai
2 : 2 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#8 Bundesliga · Germany 82%
1899 Hoffenheim
0 : 2 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 73%
#9 La Liga · Spain 81%
Osasuna
1 : 0 FT
Valladolid
✓ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 64%
#10 2. Bundesliga · Germany 81%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 : 5 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 38%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#11 Thai League 1 · Thailand 81%
Ratchaburi
2 : 2 FT
Sukhothai FC
Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#12 Bundesliga · Austria 80%
Lask Linz
1 : 1 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#13 Ligue 1 · France 80%
Saint Etienne
2 : 0 FT
Strasbourg
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 69%
#14 Premier League · England 78%
Ipswich
1 : 1 FT
Leicester
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#15 Serie A · Brazil 77%
Juventude
0 : 3 FT
Fortaleza EC
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
#16 Ligue 1 · France 77%
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 0 FT
Lens
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
#17 Bundesliga · Germany 77%
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
✓ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#18 Veikkausliiga · Finland 77%
SJK
2 : 2 FT
Haka
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#19 Super League · China 77%
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 62%
#20 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands 76%
Den Bosch
1 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by first-half goal probability (a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

First Half Goals — common questions

What does the First Half Goals market mean?

First Half Goals settles on whether a match produces at least one goal before half-time. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate first half goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The first-half goal probability shown here is the probability of at least one goal before half-time — the full-match expected goals scaled by the share of goals each league actually produces in the first half, measured from its recent results. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for First Half Goals on Saturday 2 November 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SHANGHAI SIPG vs Tianjin Teda at 87% first-half goal probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these first half goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.