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First Half Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest first-half goal probability — Sunday 23 October 2022

Thu 20 Fri 21 Sat 22 Sun 23 Mon 24 Tue 25 Wed 26

First half goals (over 0.5) lands when at least one goal goes in before the break. Our prediction model scales each fixture's full-match expected goals by the share of goals its league actually scores in the first half, measured from recent results. Only fixtures with a 75%+ chance of a first-half goal are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 23 October 2022. Molde vs Rosenborg sits top on 86% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the first half goals market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eliteserien · Norway 86%

✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%

Eredivisie · Netherlands 84%

✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

Premier League · Ukraine 83%

Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 64%

Bundesliga · Austria 82%

✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%

Bundesliga · Austria 81%

✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%

Premier League · Russia 81%

✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 63%

Eredivisie · Netherlands 81%

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic 80%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%

Superettan · Sweden 80%

✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

#10

Eliteserien · Norway 80%

✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 60%

#11

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium 79%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

#12

Allsvenskan · Sweden 78%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

#13

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates 78%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%

#14

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic 78%

✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%

#15

Eliteserien · Norway 78%

Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

#16

Premier League · Ukraine 77%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%

#17

Süper Lig · Turkey 77%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%

#18

Ligue 1 · France 77%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#19

2. Bundesliga · Germany 76%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

#20

Ligue 1 · France 76%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by first-half goal probability (a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Over 1.5 Goals Half Time / Full Time Over 2.5 Goals Goal Fest

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First Half Goals — common questions

What does the First Half Goals market mean?

First Half Goals settles on whether a match produces at least one goal before half-time. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate first half goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The first-half goal probability shown here is the probability of at least one goal before half-time — the full-match expected goals scaled by the share of goals each league actually produces in the first half, measured from its recent results. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for First Half Goals on Sunday 23 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Molde vs Rosenborg at 86% first-half goal probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these first half goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.