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First Half Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest first-half goal probability β€” Saturday 7 August 2021

First half goals (over 0.5) lands when at least one goal goes in before the break. Our prediction model scales each fixture's full-match expected goals by the share of goals its league actually scores in the first half, measured from recent results. Only fixtures with a 75%+ chance of a first-half goal are shown.

Twelve fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 7 August 2021. FC Sion vs BSC Young Boys sits top on 81% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Championship supplies eight of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the first half goals market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland 81%
FC Sion
1 : 0 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 71%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway 77%
Viking
– : – CANC
ODD Ballklubb
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Championship Β· England 77%
Blackburn
2 : 1 FT
Swansea
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#4 Championship Β· England 77%
Bristol City
1 : 1 FT
Blackpool
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#5 Championship Β· England 77%
Cardiff
1 : 1 FT
Barnsley
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#6 Championship Β· England 77%
Derby
1 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#7 Championship Β· England 77%
Luton
3 : 0 FT
Peterborough
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 68%
#8 Championship Β· England 77%
Preston
1 : 4 FT
Hull City
Win 24%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#9 Championship Β· England 77%
QPR
1 : 1 FT
Millwall
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#10 Championship Β· England 77%
Stoke City
3 : 2 FT
Reading
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic 76%
Sparta Praha
2 : 0 FT
Karviná
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway 75%
Molde
– : – CANC
Tromso
Win 75%
Draw 18%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 64%

Showing top 12 fixtures by first-half goal probability (a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

First Half Goals β€” common questions

What does the First Half Goals market mean?

First Half Goals settles on whether a match produces at least one goal before half-time. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate first half goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The first-half goal probability shown here is the probability of at least one goal before half-time — the full-match expected goals scaled by the share of goals each league actually produces in the first half, measured from its recent results. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for First Half Goals on Saturday 7 August 2021?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Sion vs BSC Young Boys at 81% first-half goal probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these first half goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.