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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Sunday 27 July 2025

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

13 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 27 July 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Bahia vs Juventude (Bahia (draw no bet)) at 90% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 70%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the draw no bet market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil Bahia (draw no bet) 90%
Bahia
3 : 0 FT
Juventude
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden AIK Stockholm (draw no bet) 89%
AIK Stockholm
0 : 0 FT
Osters IF
Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ AIK Stockholm Clean Sheet 57%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil Cruzeiro (draw no bet) 85%
Cruzeiro
1 : 2 FT
Ceara
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 61% Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Mjallby AIF (draw no bet) 81%
Mjallby AIF
2 : 1 FT
Sirius
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Super League Β· China Shanghai Shenhua (draw no bet) 76%
Shanghai Shenhua
3 : 2 FT
Henan Jianye
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Super League Β· China Shandong Luneng (draw no bet) 75%
Shandong Luneng
3 : 0 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Raków Częstochowa (draw no bet) 74%
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 2 FT
Wisla Plock
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden Orgryte IS (draw no bet) 74%
Orgryte IS
6 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#9 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Inter Turku (draw no bet) 74%
Inter Turku
4 : 1 FT
SJK
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Super League Β· China Hangzhou Greentown (draw no bet) 73%
Hangzhou Greentown
3 : 2 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#11 Premier League Β· Russia CSKA Moscow (draw no bet) 72%
CSKA Moscow
2 : 1 FT
Akhmat
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 55%
#12 Primera División Β· Chile Palestino (draw no bet) 72%
Palestino
1 : 0 FT
Union Espanola
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#13 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Lugano (draw no bet) 70%
FC Lugano
1 : 2 FT
FC Thun
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 13 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Sunday 27 July 2025?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bahia vs Juventude (Bahia (draw no bet)) at 90% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.