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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Friday 21 February 2025

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 21 February 2025. Zulte Waregem vs KRC Genk II (Zulte Waregem (draw no bet)) sits top on 86% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the draw no bet market — 78%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Zulte Waregem (draw no bet) 86%
Zulte Waregem
3 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Telstar (draw no bet) 84%
Telstar
1 : 3 FT
Excelsior
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France Bastia (draw no bet) 79%
Bastia
1 : 0 FT
RED Star FC 93
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Premier League Β· England Brentford (draw no bet) 78%
Leicester
0 : 4 FT
Brentford
Win 16%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 58%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium KV Mechelen (draw no bet) 77%
KV Mechelen
1 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands De Graafschap (draw no bet) 77%
De Graafschap
5 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga (draw no bet) 75%
SC Braga
1 : 0 FT
Nacional
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France Annecy (draw no bet) 72%
Martigues
2 : 0 FT
Annecy
Win 20%
Draw 28%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France Dunkerque (draw no bet) 71%
Dunkerque
3 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain Celta Vigo (draw no bet) 70%
Celta Vigo
1 : 0 FT
Osasuna
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 10 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Friday 21 February 2025?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Zulte Waregem vs KRC Genk II (Zulte Waregem (draw no bet)) at 86% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.