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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Friday 24 January 2025

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Friday 24 January 2025. FC Eindhoven vs Cambuur (Cambuur (draw no bet)) sits top on 88% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 70%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 2 supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the draw no bet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Cambuur (draw no bet) 88%
FC Eindhoven
4 : 2 FT
Cambuur
Win 10%
Draw 20%
Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 57%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France Auxerre (draw no bet) 88%
Auxerre
1 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 55%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Volendam (draw no bet) 85%
FC Volendam
3 : 1 FT
MVV
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Samsunspor (draw no bet) 82%
Samsunspor
2 : 1 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France Rodez (draw no bet) 81%
Rodez
1 : 2 FT
Ajaccio
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France Amiens (draw no bet) 79%
Martigues
3 : 0 FT
Amiens
Win 16%
Draw 27%
Win 57%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 66% Amiens Clean Sheet 56%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France Metz (draw no bet) 77%
Metz
3 : 0 FT
Grenoble
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfL Wolfsburg (draw no bet) 77%
VfL Wolfsburg
2 : 2 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 65%
Draw 16%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht (draw no bet) 74%
Vitesse
0 : 3 FT
Dordrecht
Win 20%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France Bastia (draw no bet) 72%
Bastia
1 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#11 League Two Β· England Newport County (draw no bet) 71%
Newport County
1 : 2 FT
Swindon Town
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Championship Β· England Sheffield Utd (draw no bet) 71%
Sheffield Utd
0 : 3 FT
Hull City
Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Den Bosch (draw no bet) 70%
Den Bosch
1 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 13 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Friday 24 January 2025?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Eindhoven vs Cambuur (Cambuur (draw no bet)) at 88% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.