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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Friday 30 August 2024

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 30 August 2024. Guingamp vs RED Star FC 93 (Guingamp (draw no bet)) sits top on 85% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 71%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the draw no bet market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France Guingamp (draw no bet) 85%
Guingamp
3 : 4 FT
RED Star FC 93
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe (draw no bet) 76%
Fenerbahçe
3 : 0 FT
Alanyaspor
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France Ajaccio (draw no bet) 76%
Ajaccio
2 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine Ruh Lviv (draw no bet) 76%
Ruh Lviv
5 : 0 FT
Inhulets
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag (draw no bet) 75%
ADO Den Haag
0 : 5 FT
Excelsior
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Eindhoven (draw no bet) 72%
Vitesse
1 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 20%
Draw 28%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Zulte Waregem (draw no bet) 71%
Zulte Waregem
1 : 0 FT
Lokeren-Temse
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%

Showing top 7 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Friday 30 August 2024?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Guingamp vs RED Star FC 93 (Guingamp (draw no bet)) at 85% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.