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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Monday 29 May 2023

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 29 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to BSC Young Boys vs FC Winterthur (BSC Young Boys (draw no bet)) at 93% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 70%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the draw no bet market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys (draw no bet) 93%
BSC Young Boys
2 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 73%
#2 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Valour (draw no bet) 87%
Vancouver FC
0 : 0 FT
Valour
Win 10%
Draw 23%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway Sarpsborg 08 FF (draw no bet) 82%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3 : 1 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 59%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden BK Hacken (draw no bet) 78%
BK Hacken
4 : 1 FT
IFK Goteborg
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Super League Β· China SHANGHAI SIPG (draw no bet) 77%
Changchun Yatai
0 : 3 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 17%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 54%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt (draw no bet) 73%
Bodo/Glimt
5 : 1 FT
Viking
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde (draw no bet) 73%
Molde
5 : 0 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 54%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Degerfors IF (draw no bet) 71%
Degerfors IF
1 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Super League Β· Switzerland FC ST. Gallen (draw no bet) 71%
FC ST. Gallen
4 : 0 FT
FC Sion
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 71%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway ODD Ballklubb (draw no bet) 70%
ODD Ballklubb
1 : 1 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 10 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Monday 29 May 2023?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by BSC Young Boys vs FC Winterthur (BSC Young Boys (draw no bet)) at 93% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.