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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Sunday 7 May 2023

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 7 May 2023. Slavia Praha vs Bohemians 1905 (Slavia Praha (draw no bet)) sits top on 89% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the draw no bet market — 87%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha (draw no bet) 89%
Slavia Praha
6 : 0 FT
Bohemians 1905
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking (draw no bet) 85%
Viking
1 : 1 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Heidenheim (draw no bet) 84%
1. FC Heidenheim
0 : 0 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
Win 71%
Draw 15%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fatih Karagümrük (draw no bet) 84%
Gaziantep FK
0 : 3 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 13%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles (draw no bet) 83%
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 1 FT
Groningen
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 54%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF (draw no bet) 82%
Malmo FF
3 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 54%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord (draw no bet) 82%
Excelsior
0 : 2 FT
Feyenoord
Win 15%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 65%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe (draw no bet) 81%
Giresunspor
1 : 1 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 16%
Draw 19%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain (draw no bet) 80%
Estac Troyes
1 : 3 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 16%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 63%
#10 Premier League Β· Russia CSKA Moscow (draw no bet) 80%
CSKA Moscow
2 : 1 FT
FC Orenburg
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 League One Β· England Sheffield Wednesday (draw no bet) 79%
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 0 FT
Derby
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 54%
#12 League One Β· England Cambridge United (draw no bet) 78%
Cambridge United
2 : 0 FT
Forest Green
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#13 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha (draw no bet) 78%
Sigma Olomouc
0 : 1 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 17%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 62%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP (draw no bet) 78%
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 4 FT
Sporting CP
Win 17%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#15 Superettan Β· Sweden Gais (draw no bet) 78%
Gais
2 : 1 FT
Trelleborg
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 League One Β· England Exeter City (draw no bet) 78%
Exeter City
3 : 2 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#17 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit (draw no bet) 77%
Zenit
3 : 2 FT
Spartak Moscow
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#18 League One Β· England Ipswich (draw no bet) 77%
Fleetwood Town
2 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
#19 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden BK Hacken (draw no bet) 77%
Halmstad
1 : 0 FT
BK Hacken
Win 18%
Draw 23%
Win 59%
#20 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Sukhothai FC (draw no bet) 75%
Sukhothai FC
1 : 2 FT
Lamphun Warrior
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Sunday 7 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Slavia Praha vs Bohemians 1905 (Slavia Praha (draw no bet)) at 89% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.