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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Friday 26 November 2021

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists ten fixtures on Friday 26 November 2021. ADO Den Haag vs Dordrecht (ADO Den Haag (draw no bet)) sits top on 81% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 70%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the draw no bet market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag (draw no bet) 81%
ADO Den Haag
5 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium SK Beveren (draw no bet) 80%
Excelsior Virton
0 : 3 FT
SK Beveren
Win 14%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 56%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf (draw no bet) 79%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0 : 1 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SSV Jahn Regensburg (draw no bet) 77%
SSV Jahn Regensburg
3 : 1 FT
Dynamo Dresden
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise (draw no bet) 77%
Union St. Gilloise
1 : 3 FT
OH Leuven
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Adana Demirspor (draw no bet) 75%
Adana Demirspor
0 : 0 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy Lecce (draw no bet) 74%
Lecce
3 : 3 FT
Ternana
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir (draw no bet) 72%
Başakşehir
0 : 0 FT
Altay
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France Lens (draw no bet) 71%
Lens
2 : 2 FT
Angers
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Eindhoven (draw no bet) 70%
FC Eindhoven
1 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 10 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Friday 26 November 2021?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by ADO Den Haag vs Dordrecht (ADO Den Haag (draw no bet)) at 81% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.