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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Tuesday 2 March 2027

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Twelve matches clear our threshold on Tuesday 2 March 2027. The strongest reading belongs to Bayern München vs SC Freiburg (Bayern München or draw) at 91% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 91%
Bayern München
– : – 19:30
SC Freiburg
Win 80%
Draw 11%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 84% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Kaiserslautern or draw 87%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
– : – 17:30
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
BTTS No 57%
#3 2. Bundesliga · Germany Energie Cottbus or draw 85%
Energie Cottbus
– : – 17:30
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Bundesliga · Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 84%
Bayer Leverkusen
– : – 19:30
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Serie B · Italy Avellino or draw 82%
Avellino
– : – 14:00
Catanzaro
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Serie B · Italy Sudtirol or draw 80%
Sudtirol
– : – 14:00
Vicenza Virtus
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#7 Bundesliga · Germany SV Elversberg or draw 79%
SV Elversberg
– : – 19:30
RB Leipzig
Win 62%
Draw 18%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 72%
#8 Championship · England Cardiff or draw 78%
Cardiff
– : – 19:45
Derby
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Serie B · Italy Mantova or draw 77%
Padova
– : – 14:00
Mantova
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
#10 2. Bundesliga · Germany Dynamo Dresden or draw 77%
Dynamo Dresden
– : – 17:30
VfL Osnabrück
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 53%
#11 Championship · England Birmingham or draw 76%
Bristol City
– : – 19:45
Birmingham
Win 24%
Draw 32%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%
#12 Serie B · Italy Palermo or draw 76%
Carrarese
– : – 14:00
Palermo
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 12 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 2 March 2027?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs SC Freiburg (Bayern München or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.