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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Wednesday 3 March 2027

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Seven matches clear our threshold on Wednesday 3 March 2027. The strongest reading belongs to Brighton vs Fulham (Brighton or draw) at 91% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies six of the top 7, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England Brighton or draw 91%
Brighton
– : – 20:00
Fulham
Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 58% Brighton Clean Sheet 53%
#2 Premier League Β· England Chelsea or draw 88%
Chelsea
– : – 20:00
Coventry
Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Premier League Β· England Arsenal or draw 87%
Arsenal
– : – 20:00
Crystal Palace
Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 60%
#4 Premier League Β· England Brentford or draw 83%
Brentford
– : – 20:00
Ipswich
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Premier League Β· England Leeds or draw 80%
Leeds
– : – 20:00
Hull City
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#6 Championship Β· England Wolves or draw 78%
Wolves
– : – 19:45
Preston
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Premier League Β· England Bournemouth or draw 76%
Bournemouth
– : – 20:00
Tottenham
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 7 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 3 March 2027?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Brighton vs Fulham (Brighton or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.