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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 2 November 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 2 November 2025. Gornik Zabrze vs Arka Gdynia (Gornik Zabrze or draw) led the list at 94% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 80%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ligue 1 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Gornik Zabrze or draw 94%
Gornik Zabrze
5 : 1 FT
Arka Gdynia
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 17%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 63% Gornik Zabrze Clean Sheet 60%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France Lens or draw 93%
Lens
3 : 0 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Lens Clean Sheet 59%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo or draw 93%
Flamengo
3 : 0 FT
Sport Recife
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Flamengo Clean Sheet 58%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil Bahia or draw 90%
Bahia
2 : 1 FT
RB Bragantino
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
BTTS No 57%
#5 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Forge or draw 89%
Forge
0 : 1 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 59%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 88%
Barcelona
3 : 1 FT
Elche
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway KFUM Oslo or draw 88%
KFUM Oslo
1 : 4 FT
Haugesund
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Gais or draw 86%
Gais
1 : 1 FT
Osters IF
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 54%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France Nantes or draw 85%
Nantes
0 : 2 FT
Metz
Win 69%
Draw 16%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 67%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France Lille or draw 84%
Lille
1 : 0 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Austria Sturm Graz or draw 83%
Rapid Vienna
2 : 1 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 17%
Draw 19%
Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 83%
MVV
3 : 4 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 17%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking or draw 83%
Stromsgodset
1 : 2 FT
Viking
Win 17%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#14 Primera División Β· Chile Coquimbo Unido or draw 82%
Coquimbo Unido
2 : 0 FT
Union La Calera
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Germany 1899 Hoffenheim or draw 82%
VfL Wolfsburg
2 : 3 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 18%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Serie A Β· Brazil Internacional or draw 81%
Internacional
0 : 0 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy Sampdoria or draw 81%
Sampdoria
0 : 1 FT
Mantova
Win 44%
Draw 37%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#18 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Bangkok United or draw 81%
Bangkok United
1 : 2 FT
Uthai Thani
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#19 Premier League Β· England Manchester City or draw 81%
Manchester City
3 : 1 FT
Bournemouth
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#20 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Jagiellonia or draw 80%
Jagiellonia
1 : 2 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 2 November 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Gornik Zabrze vs Arka Gdynia (Gornik Zabrze or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.