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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 17 October 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

19 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 17 October 2025. Chengdu Better City vs Meizhou Kejia (Chengdu Better City or draw) led the list at 92% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China Chengdu Better City or draw 92%
Chengdu Better City
3 : 1 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 19%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 58% Chengdu Better City Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium AS Eupen or draw 91%
Olympic Charleroi
0 : 1 FT
AS Eupen
Win 9%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 74%
Over 2.5 60%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France Estac Troyes or draw 89%
Estac Troyes
1 : 0 FT
Bastia
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Estac Troyes Clean Sheet 59%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil Fluminense or draw 88%
Fluminense
1 : 0 FT
Juventude
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland Drogheda United or draw 88%
Drogheda United
1 : 0 FT
Cork City
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#6 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium SK Beveren or draw 82%
Beerschot VA
1 : 1 FT
SK Beveren
Win 18%
Draw 24%
Win 58%
#7 Championship Β· England Middlesbrough or draw 80%
Middlesbrough
2 : 1 FT
Ipswich
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 79%
ADO Den Haag
3 : 0 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France Guingamp or draw 79%
Boulogne
2 : 2 FT
Guingamp
Win 21%
Draw 22%
Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Kholood or draw 78%
Al Kholood
5 : 1 FT
Al Najma
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Motor Lublin or draw 78%
Motor Lublin
2 : 5 FT
GKS Katowice
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 78%
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 3 FT
Strasbourg
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#13 Premier League Β· Ukraine Obolon'-Brovar or draw 78%
SK Poltava
1 : 2 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
Win 22%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
#14 Primera División Β· Chile A. Italiano or draw 78%
A. Italiano
4 : 3 FT
Union La Calera
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#15 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Widzew Łódź or draw 77%
Widzew Łódź
3 : 2 FT
Radomiak Radom
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Wahda FC or draw 77%
Al Bataeh
1 : 3 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 23%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#17 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Sharjah FC or draw 76%
Sharjah FC
2 : 0 FT
Al-Dhafra
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
#18 Super League Β· China Shanghai Shenhua or draw 75%
Qingdao Youth Island
1 : 2 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 25%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 48%
#19 La Liga Β· Spain Espanyol or draw 75%
Oviedo
0 : 2 FT
Espanyol
Win 25%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 17 October 2025?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Chengdu Better City vs Meizhou Kejia (Chengdu Better City or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.