Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Monday 21 April 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 21 April 2025. Leeds vs Stoke City (Leeds or draw) led the list at 88% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 77%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Championship · England
Leeds or draw
88%
Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen or draw
86%
Eliteserien · Norway
Fredrikstad or draw
84%
Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino or draw
84%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers or draw
83%
League One · England
Stockport County or draw
83%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa or draw
83%
Championship · England
West Brom or draw
83%
League Two · England
Barrow or draw
83%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893 or draw
83%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan or draw
82%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia or draw
82%
League Two · England
Swindon Town or draw
81%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw
80%
Superettan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC or draw
79%
Championship · England
Burnley or draw
79%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys or draw
79%
League One · England
Lincoln or draw
79%
League Two · England
Port Vale or draw
78%
League Two · England
Crewe or draw
77%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 21 April 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Leeds vs Stoke City (Leeds or draw) at 88% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.