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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 18 April 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 18 April 2025. Birmingham vs Crawley Town (Birmingham or draw) sits top on 93% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 78%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Birmingham or draw 93%
Birmingham
0 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
Win 82%
Draw 11%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 57%
#2 League One Β· England Wrexham or draw 91%
Wrexham
1 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 68% Wrexham Clean Sheet 62%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands MVV or draw 88%
MVV
5 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Championship Β· England Norwich or draw 88%
Norwich
3 : 5 FT
Portsmouth
Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#5 Championship Β· England Middlesbrough or draw 87%
Middlesbrough
2 : 1 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 59%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 86%
Dynamo Kyiv
3 : 0 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 83%
Galatasaray
2 : 0 FT
Bodrum FK
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#8 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Patro Eisden or draw 82%
Patro Eisden
1 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 54%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 82%
Sporting CP
3 : 1 FT
Moreirense
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#10 Championship Β· England Derby or draw 82%
Derby
0 : 1 FT
Luton
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#11 Championship Β· England Leeds or draw 81%
Oxford United
0 : 1 FT
Leeds
Win 19%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 58%
#12 Championship Β· England Burnley or draw 81%
Watford
1 : 2 FT
Burnley
Win 19%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 71% Burnley Clean Sheet 57%
#13 League Two Β· England Bromley or draw 81%
Bromley
1 : 0 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#14 League Two Β· England Walsall or draw 81%
Walsall
2 : 2 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#15 Premier Division Β· Ireland Bohemians or draw 80%
Bohemians
1 : 0 FT
Cork City
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
#16 League Two Β· England AFC Wimbledon or draw 79%
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 FT
Chesterfield
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#17 League One Β· England Wigan or draw 79%
Shrewsbury
0 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 21%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#18 League One Β· England Reading or draw 78%
Reading
0 : 1 FT
Lincoln
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#19 League One Β· England Charlton or draw 78%
Charlton
2 : 1 FT
Northampton
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
#20 Primera División Β· Chile A. Italiano or draw 78%
A. Italiano
2 : 0 FT
Union Espanola
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 18 April 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Birmingham vs Crawley Town (Birmingham or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.