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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 3 November 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 3 November 2024. Barcelona vs Espanyol (Barcelona or draw) sits top on 96% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 83%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 96%
Barcelona
3 : 1 FT
Espanyol
βœ“ Win 85%
Draw 11%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS No 55% Barcelona Clean Sheet 53%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 91%
FC Krasnodar
4 : 0 FT
FC Orenburg
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 26%
Win 9%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 89%
Dynamo Kyiv
5 : 2 FT
Inhulets
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 63% Dynamo Kyiv Clean Sheet 56%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Paderborn 07 or draw 89%
SC Paderborn 07
0 : 0 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy Catanzaro or draw 88%
Catanzaro
0 : 0 FT
Frosinone
Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 54%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 88%
Inter
1 : 0 FT
Venezia
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 15%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Austria Austria Vienna or draw 87%
Austria Vienna
2 : 1 FT
FC BW Linz
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy Sassuolo or draw 87%
Sassuolo
1 : 0 FT
Mantova
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Uthai Thani or draw 87%
Uthai Thani
2 : 1 FT
Nakhon Pathom
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Anderlecht or draw 86%
Anderlecht
4 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 86%
FC Porto
4 : 0 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK or draw 86%
Lamia
1 : 2 FT
PAOK
Win 14%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 58%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy Palermo or draw 86%
Palermo
0 : 1 FT
Cittadella
Win 54%
Draw 32%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 86%
Atletico Madrid
2 : 0 FT
Las Palmas
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 55%
#15 Primera División Β· Chile Colo Colo or draw 85%
Colo Colo
3 : 0 FT
Deportes Iquique
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#16 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slovan Liberec or draw 84%
České Budějovice
0 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 16%
Draw 26%
Win 58%
#17 Eliteserien Β· Norway Rosenborg or draw 84%
Rosenborg
1 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#18 Premier League Β· Russia Fakel or draw 84%
Fakel
1 : 1 FT
Khimki
Win 47%
Draw 36%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#19 Superettan Β· Sweden Osters IF or draw 83%
Osters IF
5 : 2 FT
Skövde AIK
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille or draw 83%
Nantes
1 : 2 FT
Marseille
Win 17%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 3 November 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Barcelona vs Espanyol (Barcelona or draw) at 96% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.